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Nice article! For what it is worth using 2012-19 trend baseline I get 1.7% excess in 2023 to w51, and 0.2% overall.

NZ is by a distance the outlier in terms of having literally no net pandemic excess, so far.

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I am still interested in what the 'other' viruses as well as covid do across 'western' societies with their age-related chronic morbidities built into the population pyramids. It could have been useful to have waste water samples to match prevalence of covid before and across the pandemic, and the flu viruses. Hindsight being a wonderful thing.

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